BP Economist Says OPEC+ Has Limited Scope to Restore Oil Output
BP 经济学家称 OPEC+恢复石油产量的空间有限

OPEC+ has limited scope to boost output as that would put pressure on oil prices, given increasing supply from the US, Brazil and Guyana, according to BP Plc Chief Economist Spencer Dale.
英国石油公司首席经济学家斯宾塞·戴尔表示，由于美国、巴西和圭亚那的供应增加，OPEC+增产的空间有限，这会给油价带来压力。

“They will also be nervous about bringing oil back on because if they do so, the total supplies are growing more quickly than demand and that will lead to instability in the market,” Dale told reporters in New Delhi, adding that the decision is up to the group itself.
“他们也会对恢复石油生产感到紧张，因为如果这样做，总供应增长将快于需求，这将导致市场不稳定，”戴尔在新德里告诉记者，并补充说这一决定取决于该组织自身。

Global oil markets are poised to swing from a deficit to a surplus next quarter should OPEC+ proceed with provisional plans to bring back idled output starting in October, data last week from the International Energy Agency showed. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies have been withholding supplies for almost two years to prop up prices.
国际能源署上周数据显示，如果 OPEC+按照初步计划从 10 月开始恢复闲置产能，全球石油市场下一季度将从短缺转为过剩。石油输出国组织及其盟友近两年来一直在限制供应以支撑油价。

However, crude has given up most of its gains this year as China’s lackluster economy countered OPEC+ supply cutbacks. That leaves the oil market divided over whether OPEC+ will unwind some of its production cuts.
然而，由于中国经济疲软抵消了 OPEC+的减产努力，原油已回吐今年大部分涨幅。这使得石油市场对 OPEC+是否会放松部分减产措施意见分歧。

Apart from demand, tensions in the Middle East, supply disruptions and weather conditions will determine oil prices next year, Dale said.
除了需求因素外，中东紧张局势、供应中断及天气状况也将决定明年油价走势，Dale 表示。